Most Valuable Players In Scottish Premiership - Part 2
The top 10 most valuable players in the Premiership
Earlier in the week I covered the CIES Football Observatory’s prediction of ‘fair price’ transfers in world football. They built a scientific model using nearly 10,000 transfers since 2014, culminating in a published research paper concluding that transfer fees are largely predictable and rational; with their model able to explain around 85% of transfer fee variation.
To the general public, they release the data of the one most valuable player at every club across 70 leagues. Some estimations in Scotland almost certainly appear to require revaluation - Kabore being Hearts’ most valuable asset with a fair price of under 2m euros for starters.
However given the credibility of their research, it seems reasonable to suggest that most of the time their valuations won’t be too far off the money. For example, when we looked back at their valuations from October 2024, they correctly predicted Hamza Igamane would go for €11m (despite not yet starting for Rangers, never mind scoring a goal) and that Arne Engels would be worth up to €20m - despite many Celtic fans offering to drive him to the airport for half of that. Lennon Miller was the most valuable player at Motherwell, although slightly understated at a top price of €3m. They had Kieran Bowie down as Hibs’ most valuable asset, despite him being out with a hamstring injury and having playing just 60 minutes of football at Easter Road.
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Although their work is not gospel, with that evidence I am inclined to trust their judgement overall. I was therefore eager to find out the value they placed on the rest of the players in Scottish football - not just the single most valuable player at each club.
Their data and research is respected across football, and they offer access to their model and valuations on a subscription basis for football clubs and agencies across the globe. Unfortunately, “Gavin at ScottishFootball.info” did not quite meet that eligibility criteria and so they wouldn’t even reveal their pricing to me. Fair enough. However they threw me a sympathy bone, and kindly provided me their data for the top 10 most valuable players in the Premiership.
