Scotland's Coefficient

Scotland's Coefficient

SPFL

Permutations For Goal Difference Deciding The Title

Required results will be updated weekly

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Scotland's Coefficient
May 08, 2026
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The title run-in, after Rangers lost at Tynecastle - there have still only been two game weeks all season where all three teams won.

A few weeks ago I explained how the title race could be decided by goal-difference or even a one off play-off match at a neutral venue at the end of May.

Due to the popularity of the article, coupled with how close the title race continues to be - I will update the ‘required results’ graphics each week. If you missed the article or want more detail on how it all works, then you can read it here:

How Title Race Could Be Decided by A Play-Off

How Title Race Could Be Decided by A Play-Off

Scotland's Coefficient
·
Apr 11
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Each week, I have been providing completely made-up results for the remaining fixtures in order to force several different outcomes, and displaying them in a graphic. After Hearts beat Rangers, this now removes the possibility of a playoff match between the two; as Hearts would now have the head to head advantage. Some other results, namely Rangers winning the league by any means, are now much more unlikely - but still possible.

In this week’s edition I have removed some outcomes, but included a new scenario “Still alive on the final day”; these are the results required to ensure all three teams can still win the league on the final day.

For simplicity I will record the winning margin in each match as being by 1 goal, unless more goals are required to force a certain scenario.

If Celtic or Rangers win the league, it will be on the final day. Only Hearts may have the opportunity to win the league in matchweek 37, depending on this weekend’s results.


THE SCENARIOS

  1. All teams can still win the final on the final day

  2. Hearts win the title on goal difference

  3. Celtic win the title on goal difference

  4. Rangers win the title on goals difference

There can longer be a playoff match between Celtic and Hearts or Rangers and Hearts because Hearts will always win any head-to-head. This is because they have two wins and one draw against Celtic, and three wins and one loss against Rangers.

Reminder: the determination of league position in the SPFL is by:

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